Monday, November 26, 2012

27th November: Trading below 5680 suggesting weak momentum in Nifty Futures




  • Nifty Futures closed at 5643 which is 10 points higher than its previous close of 5633.
  • The level of 5660 is still providing resistance for past 3 trading sessions indicating absence of buying interest in Nifty Futures.
  • The zone of 5660 – 5680 is strong resistance and only after breakout above this zone, sustained up-move is expected in Nifty Futures.
  • After the breakout of 5680, next level to watch is 5750 which is resistance seen on weekly chart.
  • On the downside, a strong support is placed at 5600, if any corrective trend is seen.
  • Long positions are recommended only after upward breakout of 5680 on closing basis in Nifty Futures.
  • The short term RSI on daily chart is turned in the positive territory suggesting the level of 5600 will provide strong support.
  • The intraday resistance levels for Nifty are placed at 5680 & 5725 where as the intraday support levels are placed at 5600 & 5550 respectively.  

Friday, November 23, 2012

26th November: On weekly chart, Nifty Futures needs to surpass 5750 for reversal




  • Nifty Futures closed at 5633 which is 7 points lower than its previous close of 5640.
  • Nifty Futures is still hovering below initial resistance of 5660 indicating lacking strength of upward momentum.
  • A positive weekly close is seen with week to week gains of 50 points.
  • As per the weekly charts, the intermediate resistance and 62% retracement level is above 5750 and Nifty Futures needs to surpass this level for reversal.
  • After the upward breakout of 5660 on closing basis, Nifty Futures is likely to test 5750 in a short span of time.
  • On the downside, the current bottom of 5550 is a crucial support as after the breakdown below this level, a sell off may be seen till 5480.
  • The timing cycle day is placed at 26th November for signaling the trend direction.
  • The intraday resistance levels for Nifty are placed at 5660 & 5700 where as the intraday support levels are placed at 5590 & 5550 respectively

23rd Nov: Weekly close above 5660 to indicate regaining strength in Nifty Futures




  • Nifty Futures is consolidating in the range of 100 points between 5650 & 5550 for past 4 trading sessions.
  • Nifty Futures is yet to show a sharp breakout above 5660 which will be the initial sign of reversing trend.
  • Though the previous weekly close was seen at 5580, current close above 5660 will be a positive indication for initiating long trades.
  • After the upward breakout of 5660 on closing basis, Nifty Futures is likely to test 5725 in a short span of time.
  • On the downside, the current bottom of 5550 is a crucial support as below this level, a sell off may be seen till 5480.
  • The next timing cycle day is placed at 23rd / 26th November for signaling the trend direction.
  • The intraday resistance levels for Nifty are placed at 5660 & 5725 where as the intraday support levels are placed at 5590 & 5550 respectively.  

Thursday, November 22, 2012

22nd November: Unless 5660 is breached, Nifty Futures trend sideways



  • Nifty Futures closed at 5622 which is 38 points higher than its previous close of 5584.
  • For past 3 trading sessions, Nifty Futures is moving in a terminating pattern and will be confirmed the trend reversal once Nifty Futures moves above 5660 level.
  • On the daily chart, a 7 points price gap is seen between 5664 and 5671, hence the level of 5660 is showing multiple resistance on daily chart.
  • After the breakout of 5660 on closing basis, a sharp breakout may be seen till 5750.
  • On the downside, the current bottom of 5550 is a crucial support as below this level, a sell off may be seen till 5480.
  • Though short term RSI is in the oversold territory, it is yet to cut the trigger line upwards and suggesting long positions after 5660.
  • The next timing cycle day is placed at 23rd / 26th November for signaling the trend direction.
  • The intraday resistance levels for Nifty are placed at 5660 & 5700 where as the intraday support levels are placed at 5590 & 5550 respectively.  

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

21st Nov: Nifty Futures needs to maintain 5550 to avoid further erosion




  • Nifty Futures closed at 5583 which is 7 points lower than its previous close of 5590.
  • Nifty Futures failed to show expected bounce and again moved in the vicinity of 5550.
  • The lacking buying interest is pushing Nifty Futures downwards where the crucial support is placed at 5550.
  • Nifty Futures needs to maintain 5550 as breakdown of this level will lead to testing of 5470 levels where sharp selloff may be seen.
  • On the higher side 5620 & 5660 are expected to provide resistance to Nifty Futures if any corrective uptrend is seen.
  • The strength in the market will be seen only after Nifty Futures trades and sustains above 5700.
  • The next timing cycle day is placed at 22nd / 23rd November for signaling the trend direction.
  • The intraday resistance levels for Nifty are placed at 5620 & 5660 where as the intraday support levels are placed at 5550 & 5500 respectively.  

Monday, November 19, 2012

20th November: Nifty Futures is likely to trade between 5550 & 5660



  • Nifty Futures closed at 5590 which is 9 points higher than its previous close of 5581.
  • Nifty Futures breached Friday’s low and formed new low in intraday at 5563 and closed near 5600 mark.
  • The intraday chart of Nifty Futures is showing corrective bounce in the offing with immediate target of 5620 and next at 5660.
  • Nifty Futures is likely to trade in the range of 5550 & 5660 for some time showing consolidation before continuing the current uptrend.
  • The breakdown of 5550 may lead to further fall in Nifty Futures till the next support of 5470.
  • The strength in the market will be seen only after Nifty Futures trades and sustains above 5700.
  • The next timing cycle day is placed at 22nd / 23rd November for signaling the trend direction.
  • The intraday resistance levels for Nifty are placed at 5620 & 5660 where as the intraday support levels are placed at 5550 & 5500 respectively

Saturday, November 17, 2012

19th Nov: Negative weekly close below 5600 is sign of worry



  • Nifty Futures closed at 5581 which is 68 points lower than its previous close of 5649.
  • Nifty Futures opened at 5664 and was trading between 5665 & 5635 but sharp selloff near the closing session pushed Nifty Futures lower.
  • The intraday low was registered at 5568 indicating strong selling pressure before weekend.
  • The weekly close was negative by 140 points in comparison with earlier weekly close suggesting beginning of downward momentum.
  • If the downtrend continues, then immediate support level is placed at 5550 and intermediate support level is seen at 5450.
  • The strong resistance for Nifty Futures is at 5700 on weekly basis and the upward reversal is placed at 5750 on closing basis.
  • The next timing cycle day is placed at 22nd / 23rd November for signaling the trend direction.
  • The intraday resistance levels for Nifty are placed at 5620 & 5660 where as the intraday support levels are placed at 5550 & 5500 respectively.  

Tuesday, November 13, 2012

15th Nov: Important Levels to watch for Nifty Futures 5580 & 5825





Saturday, November 10, 2012

12th November: Negative Weekly close of Nifty Futures indicates lacking strength in rally



  • Nifty Futures closed at 5721 which is 44 points lower than its previous close of 5765.
  • Nifty Futures was unable to breach the level of 5780 and the correction pushed it downwards to form the intraday bottom at 5703.
  • Nifty Futures is near its support of 5700 and the next support is placed at 5650 in case the weakness persists.
  • The crucial support is placed at 5600 below which the short term trend direction can turn negative.
  • Now 5800 – 5850 is a strong resistance zone and Nifty Futures needs to surpass 5850 on closing basis for uptrend continuation.
  • The weekly close has turned negative by 20 points in comparison with its previous close indicating lacking strength in the rally.
  • The next timing cycle day is placed at 22nd / 23rd November for signaling the trend direction.
  • The intraday resistance levels for Nifty are placed at 5740 & 5780 where as the intraday support levels are placed at 5700 & 5650 respectively.  

Thursday, November 8, 2012

9th November: Nifty Futures needs to close above 5740 for positive weekly close



  • Nifty Futures closed at 5765 which is 28 points lower than its previous close of 5793.
  • Nifty Futures opened with 35 points downward price gap and formed intraday low at 5743.
  • Now, the range of 5790 – 5780 is likely to provide a strong resistance and continuation of corrective trend may be seen.
  • On downside, the zone of 5710 – 5680 is a strong support and ideal buying zone on positional basis for trading long positions.
  • Nifty Futures can be bought near 5710 with the stop loss of 5610 and initial target is 5850.
  • Till Nifty Futures trades above 5600, the short term trend will remain in upward direction.
  • The intraday resistance levels for Nifty are placed at 5780 & 5830 where as the intraday support levels are placed at 5740 & 5700 respectively.  

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

7th November: Nifty Futures is in the offing of a breakout above 5780



  • Nifty Futures closed at 5767 which is 27 points higher than its previous close of 5740.
  • Nifty Futures continued the uptrend and closed near the breakout level of 5780.
  • The daily chart is indicating a fresh uptrend which will confirm if Nifty Futures closes above 5780 and sustained rally will be seen thereafter.   
  • After this upward breakout, the immediate target is placed at 5850 and the next is at 5900.
  • Now the stop loss is revised to 5700 for long trading positions.
  • Long positions can be added in Nifty Futures above 5780 with the revised stop loss of 5700 and target is 590.
  • Till Nifty Futures trades above 5600, the short term trend will remain in upward direction.
  • The intraday resistance levels for Nifty are placed at 5850 & 5900 where as the intraday support levels are placed at 5700 & 5660 respectively


Tuesday, November 6, 2012

6th November: Valid Breakout Level for Nifty Futures at 5780




  • Nifty Futures closed at 5740 without showing any loss or gain in comparison with its previous close of 5740.
  • Nifty Futures traded above 5700 throughout the day and formed intraday low at 5711.
  • Though Nifty Futures is maintaining above 5700, valid breakout level for Nifty Futures is placed at 5780 above which sustainable uptrend is expected.   
  • After this upward breakout, the immediate target is placed in the zone of 5900 – 5950.
  • A 15 points Price gap is visible on daily chart between 5700 & 5685 which is likely to provide a support if any corrective trend is seen.
  • Long positions can be added in Nifty Futures above 5780 with the revised stop loss of 5680 and target is between 5900 - 5950.
  • Till Nifty Futures trades above 5600, the short term trend will remain in upward direction.
  • The intraday resistance levels for Nifty are placed at 5780 & 5850 where as the intraday support levels are placed at 5720 & 5680 respectively.  

Thursday, November 1, 2012

2nd November: Weekly close above 5700 will be first sign of reversing the trend